Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China

Yi, Hu and Jin-Feng , Wang and Xiao-Hong, Li and Dan, Ren and Dez-Hi, Mu and Yan-Ping, Wang and Chun- Mei, Wen and Jun, Zhu and Juan, Liang (2012) Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China. Geospatial health , 6 (2). pp. 247-255. ISSN 1970-7096

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Abstract

A Bayesian geostatistical model was used to identify factors related to topographical variation in the analysis of mortality risk for children less than 5 years of age in the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in the People’s Republic of China. Epidemiological data from a standardized survey were available from 115 locations across the study area. Physical and demographic factors measured directly at the township level were examined with respect to risk. The geostatistical model explicitly accounted for spatial correlation present in child mortality by fitting a Gaussian linear model to the data. Results identified the role of several factors in explaining geographical heterogeneity in child mortality and show that it was significantly correlated with earthquake intensity, population density, migrant labour, and the percentage of collapsed houses

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Under-five mortality, risk factors, Bayesian geostatistical model, earthquake, geographical information systems, People’s Republic of China
Subjects:	500 Scienze naturali e Matematica > 550 Scienze della Terra > 551 Geologia, Idrologia, Meteorologia > 551.2 Vulcani, terremoti, acque termali e gas > 551.22 Terremoti (Classificare qui la Sismologia) (Classificare le onde di maremoto in 551.463) 500 Scienze naturali e Matematica > 550 Scienze della Terra > 555 Scienze della terra – Asia (Classificare qui la Geologia, i rilevamenti geologici, la stratigrafia dell’Asia) 600 Tecnologia - Scienze applicate > 610 Medicina e salute (Classificare qui la tecnologia dei servizi medici) > 610.7 Medicina - Educazione e Insegnamento; Medicina - Ricerca > 610.72 Statistica medica 600 Tecnologia - Scienze applicate > 610 Medicina e salute (Classificare qui la tecnologia dei servizi medici) > 614 Medicina legale; incidenza delle malattie; Medicina preventiva pubblica > 614.4 Incidenza delle malattie e misure pubblica per prevenirle (classificare qui l'Epidemiologia, l'Epidemiologia clinica) > 614.42 Incidenza delle malattie, e misure pubbliche per prevenirle. Incidenza (classificare qui la prevalenza; la Geografia medica; l'Epidemiologia spaziale; i rilevamenti sanitari) 900 Storia, Geografia e discipline ausiliarie > 910 Geografia e viaggi > 910.285 Geographic information systems
Depositing User:	Chiara Ceccucci
Date Deposited:	13 Aug 2012 09:42
Last Modified:	13 Aug 2012 09:42
URI:	http://eprints.bice.rm.cnr.it/id/eprint/4202

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